We still have our solid snow covering. It’s packed hard. Venturing
off the feedground into fresh territory takes chains and bravado. We’ve gotten
stuck a few times which keeps us humble. Truth told, smooth sailing doesn’t show one’s
true character does it? Wallowing around in the snow securing tire chains does.
I let Mark do the wallowing of course. It’s so unfair.
I read to Mark out of my 2015 diary. It was 63 degrees on this date. What? The forecast for today is a high of 26!
It’s a new year. Some things are the same. Red meat and
raising cows in general is still being vilified. We’re still ignoring nutrition
commonsense and refusing to raise the conversation around climate issues. And some
things are different. After several years of sky-high beef industry profits, calf prices have plummeted to nearly one-half the high of a few
short months ago.
The agricultural world is rife with boom and bust net returns. Of course any economic sector (oil for instance) can fluctuate wildly, and keeping
our wits about us when prices are strong is always good advice.
Mark and I have asked ourselves more than once, “Were high
cattle prices good for the industry?” On one hand, ranchers finally had
enough money to build the shop, buy the new Ford tractor, remodel the
house or put a handsome down payment into a coveted piece of real estate. On the other
hand, grazing rental rates went through the roof because of competition for
grass. And if you were trying to expand, cow prices were (and still are in our opinion) too high to cash flow. Seems the ride up
is easy, the ride down stilted and begrudging. Hopefully the new equipment was
paid for in cash and any real estate debt comes with a payment that can be covered when profits are squeezed.
The high prices put a shot of adrenaline into the beef
industry. Many ranching families brought on the next generation during this
upswing. This was positive in so many ways, but now it's time to dig into
the finances and help the youngsters understand the figure at the end of the spreadsheet. Then work together to keep it in the black. Knowledge is power, and respectful debate and collaboration, golden.
beauty in my world |
Thanks for your insights into the cattle business. I hadn't realized there were down sides to high cattle prices.
ReplyDeleteAnd amen to this! - "Knowledge is power, and respectful debate and collaboration, golden."